Content about “
probability

Article

What are sigma levels?

Find out how scientists, from physicists to geneticists, measure their confidence in their results.
Article

Outer space: You guessed it

If you are a flower then April is allegedly the cruellest month, but if you are a student of any sort then I'm sure you would have picked June.
News story

23 and maths

The company 23andMe made headlines by launching its DNA testing service in the UK. But how are the risks of developing a disease calculated?
Article

Pointless: The maths of TV gameshows

One thing that makes TV game shows fun to watch is that there's usually an element of luck involved. But how (un)lucky is (un)lucky? We look at the probabilities of two popular examples.
Article

Why are we here?

David Sloan calculates how likely it is that our Universe exists. He explains to us how, and why the answer can help shape our theories of physics.
Article

Struggling with chance

A 1 in 14 million chance to win the lottery, a 5% risk of cancer, a 50:50 chance of heads on a coin — we deal with probabilities all the time, but do they actually mean anything? We explore the philosophy of probability and ask whether the probabilities that come up in physics differ from those in every day life.
Article

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and Bayes

In the previous article we looked at a psychological study which claims to provide evidence that certain types of extra-sensory perception exist, using a statistical method called significance testing. But do the results of the study really justify this conclusion?