Weighing up risks is something we have to do every day and sometimes the stakes are high. Find out what to keep in mind when doing so!
How confident is the Large Language Model chatbot that its answers are correct? And how confident can we be about this confidence? This article investigates.
We talk to David Spiegelhalter about eggs, politics, coins and his new book The art of uncertainty.
Probabilities and statistics: they are everywhere, but they are hard to understand and can be counter-intuitive. So what's the best way of communicating them to an audience that doesn't have the time, desire, or background to get stuck into the numbers? This article explores modern visualisation techniques and finds that the right picture really can be worth a thousand words.
Why does a financial mathematician think about birds when trying to understand the grounding of aeroplanes after the Icelandic volcano eruption?
Stats, damn stats and genetics
Well, no-one knows exactly, but using stats you can make a good guess. This article tells you how and has an interactive life expectancy calculator. Do you dare to find out?
